Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3104
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 3104 · ATL → SRQ
departs 10:10 AM ET · arrives 11:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.12 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.