Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3104
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 3104 · ATL → SRQ
departs 10:05 AM ET · arrives 11:44 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↑
SRQ is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.97 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.