Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3104
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 3104 · ATL → SRQ
departs 10:05 AM ET · arrives 11:44 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
SRQ is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.38 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.