Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
DL 3198 · ATL → PNS
departs 10:34 AM ET · arrives 10:46 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day
↑
Other factors
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into PNS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.12 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 1.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.