Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 3198 · ATL → PNS
departs 10:39 AM ET · arrives 10:51 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±4 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.99 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.