Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 3198 · ATL → PNS
departs 10:39 AM ET · arrives 10:51 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.2 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.09 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.