Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1953
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 1953 · BQN → MCO
departs 3:10 AM AT · arrives 6:01 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1 17%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BQN (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.