Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
F9 2288 · MCO → ORF
departs 6:29 PM ET · arrives 8:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 48%
Mon 10/5 44%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 22%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
72%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
72%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +33 pts in 24h
+33 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ORF that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ORF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
ORF (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.