Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 2288 · MCO → ORF
departs 6:29 PM ET · arrives 8:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORF that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ORF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.31 in
ORF (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.