Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2288 · MCO → ORF
departs 6:29 PM ET · arrives 8:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 38%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
ORF (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.