Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 3076 · CLT → BWI
departs 1:38 PM ET · arrives 3:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 28%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
CLT is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.08 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.