Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 3076 · CLT → BWI
departs 1:38 PM ET · arrives 3:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 28%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.81 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.