Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Saturday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3782 LANDED 11:50 AM ET, ~15 MIN LATE

Saturday, October 3 Today

F9 3782 · ATL → TPA

took off 10:42 AM ET · landed 11:50 AM ET (scheduled 10:03 AM ET → 11:40 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.22 in

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3782 · ATL → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?