MQ 3413 · CLT → EYW

took off 2:07 PM ET · landed 4:03 PM ET (scheduled 2:05 PM ET → 4:22 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EYW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ EYW is prone to delays

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

EYW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3413 · CLT → EYW

Odds over time

How late did it get to EYW?