MQ 3413 · CLT → EYW

departs 1:56 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EYW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at CLT that day

↑ EYW is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

EYW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3413 · CLT → EYW

Odds over time

How late will it get to EYW?