Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3519
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3519 · EYW → CLT
departs 5:53 PM ET · arrives 8:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW
↑
EYW is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.83 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.