Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3519
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3519 · EYW → CLT
departs 4:41 PM ET · arrives 7:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 27%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
EYW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.