Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3560
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3560 · CLT → HHH
departs 3:52 PM ET · arrives 5:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 43%
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at HHH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HHH?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HHH
↑
3pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
HHH usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.08 in
HHH (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.