Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3560
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3560 · CLT → HHH
departs 3:09 PM ET · arrives 4:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at HHH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HHH?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at HHH that day
↑
3pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
Arrivals into HHH at that hour are usually not late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.34 in
HHH (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.