MQ 3568 · PNS → MIA

took off 1:53 PM CT · landed 4:20 PM ET (scheduled 1:33 PM CT → 4:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.65 in

MIA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3568 · PNS → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?