Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5021 LANDED 12:12 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

OH 5021 · CLT → MLB

took off 11:01 AM ET · landed 12:12 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MLB that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↓ Arrivals into MLB at that hour are usually not late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.23 in

MLB (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5021 · CLT → MLB

Odds over time