Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5021 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5021 · CLT → ATW

departs 2:06 PM ET · arrives 3:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATW?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

ATW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5021 · CLT → ATW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATW?