Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5213 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

OH 5213 · HSV → DCA

departs 2:35 PM CT · arrives 5:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at HSV that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.12 in

DCA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5213 · HSV → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?