Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5213 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5213 · HSV → DCA

departs 1:15 PM CT · arrives 4:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5213 · HSV → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?