OH 5225 · CLT → MDT

took off 10:06 PM ET · landed 11:08 PM ET (scheduled 9:31 PM ET → 11:09 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

MDT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5225 · CLT → MDT

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDT?