Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5258 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

OH 5258 · CLT → LEX

departs 6:10 PM ET · arrives 7:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±5 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ LEX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.74 in

LEX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5258 · CLT → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?