Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5287 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

OH 5287 · CLT → MEM

departs 2:52 PM ET · arrives 3:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MEM that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.54 in

MEM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5287 · CLT → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?