Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5287 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5287 · CLT → MEM

departs 2:52 PM ET · arrives 3:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±4 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MEM that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.34 in

MEM (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5287 · CLT → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?