Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5295 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

OH 5295 · DCA → MHT

departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 4:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +30 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MHT

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.43 in

MHT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5295 · DCA → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?