Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5295 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5295 · DCA → MHT

departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MHT

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.06 in

MHT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5295 · DCA → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?