Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4689
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 4689 · SFO → OTH
departs 10:10 AM PT · arrives 11:59 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at OTH more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OTH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at OTH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OTH?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at OTH that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
OTH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
OTH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.