Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2809 LANDED 2:31 PM MT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 2809 · ORD → DEN

took off 1:19 PM CT · landed 2:31 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2809 · ORD → DEN

Odds over time