Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2156
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2156 · JAX → BNA
departs 11:55 AM ET · arrives 12:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at BNA that day
↑
Other factors
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.