Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3442
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
YX 3442 · CLT → ORD
departs 1:06 PM ET · arrives 2:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.54 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.