YX 4506 · LGA → CAE

took off 11:57 AM ET · expected to land 1:26 PM ET (scheduled 12:00 PM ET → 2:12 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CAE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAE

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ CAE usually runs smoothly

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CAE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4506 · LGA → CAE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAE?