AA 2002 · DCA → CLT

departs 7:27 PM ET · arrives 9:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.13 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2002 · DCA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?