Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2823SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2823 · MIA → DFW
departs 4:39 PM ET · arrives 7:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
38%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.