Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2953SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2953 · MIA → LAX
departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 7:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
27%chance · ±5 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.