Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 487SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 487 · BNA → MIA
departs 7:20 AM CT · arrives 10:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.