Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 806SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 806 · DFW → SNA
departs 7:15 PM CT · arrives 8:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.