DL 1621 · DCA → MCO

departs 2:48 PM ET · arrives 5:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.15 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1621 · DCA → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?