DL 2821 · MSP → CLT

departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 6:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at CLT that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling11,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2821 · MSP → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?