Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1556
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
F9 1556 · MCO → CLT
departs 8:10 PM ET · arrives 10:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 48%
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
67%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
67%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.