Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1556
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 1556 · MCO → CLT
departs 8:10 PM ET · arrives 10:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 67%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at CLT that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.