Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
F9 2451 · CLT → MCO
departs 8:02 PM ET · arrives 10:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 41%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.16 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.