Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 2451 · CLT → MCO
departs 8:02 PM ET · arrives 10:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±9 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.