F9 3068 · IAH → BWI

departs 4:21 PM CT · arrives 8:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.27 in

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3068 · IAH → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?