Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3068
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
F9 3068 · IAH → BWI
departs 4:21 PM CT · arrives 8:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 26%
Thu 10/8 32%
Fri 10/9 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.666667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.