Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3605
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3605 · JAX → MIA
departs 7:37 PM ET · arrives 8:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 37%
Fri 10/9 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.44 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.