Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3863
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3863 · ACK → CLT
departs 1:50 PM ET · arrives 4:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sun 10/4
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ACK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late
↓
ACK is quiet at that time
↓
CLT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ACK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.81 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.